B1 · Intermediate

Deductions about the present: must, can't, may, might and could

A deduction is a conclusion you reach from information, rather than something you have checked directly. Modal verbs let you show a strong belief, an uncertain possibility or an expectation. They do not prove that your conclusion is right.

Choose the meaning, not a percentage

First decide what you want to say. Are you strongly convinced, considering one possible explanation, or saying what you normally expect? The same information can lead different people to different conclusions.

Your meaningFormWhat you are saying
Strong positive conclusionmustI am convinced this is true, from the information I have.
Strong negative conclusioncan't, cannot; also couldn'tI judge this impossible or extremely unlikely.
An uncertain possibilitymay, might, couldThis is one possible explanation; I am not sure.
An uncertain negative possibilitymay not, might notPerhaps this is not true.
An expected situationshould, shouldn'tThis is what I reasonably expect, rather than a guarantee.

Do not give may, might and could fixed percentages. They overlap. Context, stress and the speaker's view affect how certain they sound. A choice between may and might is not a reliable test of an exact amount of certainty.

Form: modal + base verb

Present state or situation
Subjectmust / may / might / could / can'tbase verb
  • The label must belong to another parcel.
  • Your copy might contain an extra page.
  • The number cannot be correct.

The modal does not take -s with he, she or it. The next verb has no to: might contain, not might contains or might to contain. Use be, not am, is or are, after the modal. Do not put two core modals together: may be able to, not may can.

Negative possibility
Subjectmay / mightnotbase verb

Put not after may or might without don't or doesn't. Mightn't is a contracted form of might not. May not has no ordinary contracted form. Cannot is normally one word; can't is its contraction.

Must: a strong conclusion from evidence

Use must when the information makes you feel that one explanation is right. This is your conclusion, not an instruction and not a statement that you have independently verified it.

  • Every envelope has the old logo. This must be last year's stock.
  • The tiny key fits only this box. It must open this lock.
  • You must know the route very well after guiding twelve groups along it.

A strong conclusion can be wrong. You might later discover that someone printed new envelopes with the old logo. Must reports your confidence at that moment; it does not remove other real-world possibilities.

SentenceHow you present the information
The spare cable is in drawer three. I put it there myself.You state something as a fact.
The spare cable must be in drawer three. It is not in either of the other drawers.You give a conclusion from your search.

A statement without a modal presents something as true; grammar alone cannot guarantee that the speaker's information is correct. The difference here is how you present your knowledge.

Can't and couldn't: a strong negative conclusion

Use can't or cannot when you judge an explanation impossible or extremely unlikely. Couldn't can also express this judgement about a present situation. It does not automatically put the situation in the past.

  • That can't be today's report. Its date is three weeks old.
  • This cannot contain all the recordings. The folder is empty.
  • The humming couldn't be the refrigerator. We unplugged it before the test.

Keep the judgement separate from proof. A speaker who says can't may be mistaken about the evidence, just as a speaker who says must may be mistaken.

The basic negative counterpart of deductive must is can't, not an automatic replacement with mustn't. Mustn't is the form you need for a prohibition: Visitors mustn't touch the glass. Do not learn an absolute claim that negative must can never express an inference: the past reference includes attested advanced must not have been patterns. For the present comparison here, use can't or couldn't to state a strong negative conclusion.

May, might and could: possible, not certain

Use these forms when an explanation is possible but you are not ready to say it is the answer. You can put several possibilities side by side.

  • The rattling may come from a loose shelf.
  • The rattling might come from a loose shelf.
  • The rattling could come from a loose shelf.

All three can express the same uncertain explanation here. May is more formal than might and could in the British Council comparison, but these are not separate grammatical meanings. Do not mark a possible might answer wrong just because a key prefers may.

May not and might not mean that the negative situation is possible. They do not mean that the positive situation is impossible.

ExampleMeaning
The spare screen might not work.Perhaps it does not work; we have not checked.
The spare screen may not work.The same negative possibility.
The spare screen can't work without a power supply.The speaker judges working impossible in those conditions.

Could not is not the ordinary negative equivalent of uncertain could. It can express impossibility, inability or lack of permission, depending on context. Read the whole sentence, not just the word not.

Be + -ing: an action happening now

Present action in progress
Subjectmust / may / might / could / can'tbeverb-ing
  • The scanner must be copying the entire file. The counter keeps rising.
  • They might be measuring the doorway. I can hear someone moving the tape.
  • She can't be using this computer. Its power cable is disconnected.

Use the base verb for a state, such as know, own or need. Use be + -ing when you mean an activity in progress. You do not need an -ing form just because your conclusion concerns now.

PatternExampleTime you mean
modal + base verbHe may own the workshop.A present state.
modal + be + -ingHe may be painting the workshop.An activity in progress.
modal + have + past participleHe may have painted the workshop.A possible earlier action.

Could be painting can refer to now even though could also has past uses elsewhere. For earlier deductions, use the perfect patterns on Deductions about the past: must have, can't have, might have; don't change must to musted.

Questions and replies

Ask about a possibility
Couldsubjectbase verb...?
  • Could the second number be a room number?
  • Could the marks come from the packaging?

Could...? and Do you think...? are useful ways to ask about an explanation. These are more usual than questions with may, might or must for this purpose.

  • Do you think the station might be on the other side of the bridge?

Questions can also challenge a possibility: How can both clocks be right? Can is not banned from every question about possibility. Do not add do to a direct modal question: Could it be...?, not Does it could be...?

In a reply you can leave out words that are already understood: Could the sound be the lift? - It could be, but I haven't checked. A reply such as It must be presents a stronger conclusion than It might be.

Can: a general possibility, not this particular guess

Can describes something that sometimes happens or is capable of happening. For one uncertain explanation of what is happening now, use may, might or could instead.

ExampleMeaning
Old wooden doors can make loud cracking sounds.This sometimes happens with such doors.
This sound could come from the wooden door.That is one explanation of this particular sound.

Can also expresses ability and permission. We can enter through the side door can describe an available option, not a guess about where somebody is. A grammatical can sentence is not wrong merely because it refers to one occasion; check its meaning.

Should: what you expect

Should and shouldn't can say what is likely or reasonable to expect, rather than give advice. They do not carry the same meaning as must or can't.

  • The replacement part should fit. Its measurements match the drawing.
  • The queue shouldn't be long at this hour.

This expectation can fail. If you are simply warning of an unwanted possibility, may, might or could gives a clearer meaning: The replacement part might jam. British Council teaches should in this probability use as "if all goes well". This is not a reason to cross out every sentence about an unwelcome result without looking at the context.

Compare an expectation, The lid should close now; the obstruction is gone, with advice, You should close the lid before moving the box. The situation tells you which meaning is intended. More on Should, ought to and had better: advice and expectation.

Well: a stronger possibility

Put well after may, might or could to make the possibility sound more likely. It does not turn it into a verified fact.

  • The missing label may well be underneath the tray.
  • Those scratches could well explain the blurred image.
  • He might well need a larger screen.

Well belongs between the modal and the following verb. Compare might be with might well be, not a fixed numerical scale of may, might and could. More advanced probability patterns are on Advanced probability: may, might, could, should and can.

Watch out

✗The password must belongs to another account.

✓The password must belong to another account.

The verb after must is in the base form, without -s.

✗The attachment might to contain a map.

✓The attachment might contain a map.

Do not add to after a core modal.

✗The printer may is offline.

✓The printer may be offline.

Use be after a modal, not is.

✗She doesn't might recognise the symbol.

✓She might not recognise the symbol.

Put not after might; do not add doesn't.

✗Does the missing file could be on the backup drive?

✓Could the missing file be on the backup drive?

Put could before the subject without does.

✗The operator must be checks the numbers.

✓The operator must be checking the numbers.

For an activity in progress, use be + -ing.

What comes next

Continue with Must and can't for deductions for the strong positive/negative pair and May and might: possibility and other meanings for possibility and other meanings. See Deductions about the past: must have, can't have, might have for earlier events, Advanced probability: may, might, could, should and can for wider probability patterns and Degrees of certainty about the future for future predictions. The linked pages have separate review statuses in the completion ledger.

Practice

Eight questions. Choose one answer for each.